• The world has changed much in recent years
  • Disease and infection won’t show up for days or weeks, even years
  • Frédéric Bastiat
  • society has shifted to a predominantly delayed-return environment




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    society has shifted to a predominantly delayed-return environment
    : The original research on this
    topic used the terms delayed-return societies and immediate-return societies. James
    Woodburn, “Egalitarian Societies,” Man 17, no. 3 (1982), doi:10.2307/2801707. I first heard
    of the difference between immediate-return environments and delayed-return environments in
    a lecture from Mark Leary. Mark Leary, Understanding the Mysteries of Human Behavior
    (Chantilly, VA: Teaching, 2012).
    The world has changed much in recent years
    : The rapid environmental changes of recent centuries
    have far outpaced our biological ability to adapt. On average, it takes about twenty-five
    thousand years for meaningful genetic changes to be selected for in a human population. For
    more, see Edward O. Wilson, Sociobiology (Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press, 1980), 151.
    our brains evolved to prefer quick payoffs to long-term ones
    : Daniel Gilbert, “Humans Wired to
    Respond to Short-Term Problems,” interview by Neal Conan, Talk of the Nation, NPR, July 3,
    2006, 
    https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5530483
    .
    Disease and infection won’t show up for days or weeks, even years
    : The topics of irrational
    behavior and cognitive biases have become quite popular in recent years. However, many
    actions that seem irrational on the whole have rational origins if you consider their immediate
    outcome.
    Frédéric Bastiat
    : Frédéric Bastiat and W. B. Hodgson, What Is Seen and What Is Not Seen: Or
    Political Economy in One Lesson (London: Smith, 1859).
    Future You
    Hat tip to behavioral economist Daniel Goldstein, who said, “It’s an unequal battle
    between the present self and the future self. I mean, let’s face it, the present self is present. It’s
    in control. It’s in power right now. It has these strong, heroic arms that can lift doughnuts into
    your mouth. And the future self is not even around. It’s off in the future. It’s weak. It doesn’t
    even have a lawyer present. There’s nobody to stick up for the future self. And so the present
    self can trounce all over its dreams.” For more, see Daniel Goldstein, “The Battle between
    Your Present and Future Self,” TEDSalon NY2011, November 2011, video,
    https://www.ted.com/talks/daniel_goldstein_the_battle_between_your_present_and_future_sel
    f
    .

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    society has shifted to a predominantly delayed-return environment

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