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“O’zbekiston statistika axborotnomasi” ilmiy elektron jurnali 023/4-son statmirror uzBog'liq Макромодели конечного предложения Узбекистана
ANNOTATSIYA:
ushbu maqolada iqtisodiy ukladi va rivojlanish darajasi
boʼyicha Oʼzbekistonga nisbatan yaqin davlatlar hisoblanmish - MDH
mamlakatlarining taklif va uning tarkibiy segmentlarini tahlil qilish va
prognozlashning amaliy makromodellarning sharhi amalga oshirilgan. Maqolada
tahlil va prognozlash makromodelini qurish metodologiyasi ishlab chiqilgan,
“O’zbekiston statistika axborotnomasi”
ilmiy elektron jurnali 2023/4-son 2 statmirror.uz
shuningdek, prognozlashtirilayotgan yakuniy taklif oʼsish surʼatlarini hisoblash
formulasi shakillashtirilgan. Mamlakatning makroiqtisodiy muvozanatini tahlil qilish
va prognozlashtirish uchun tovar va xizmatlar yakuniy taklifining ekonometrik
makromodeli qurilgan.
Shu bilan birga, taklifning ekonometrik modellari O'zbekiston ma'lumotlar
bazasi asnosida baholangantaklifekonometrik modeliko'rsatkichlarining statistik
ahamiyatliligi
sinovdanoʼtkazilgan
va
taklifning
makromodeliga
kiritilgan
tenglamalarning iqtisodiy talqini berilgan.
Kalit soʻzlar:
makroiqtisodiy muvozanat, ekonometrik modellashtirish,
prognozlash, yakuniy taklif, tarmoqlarning yalpi qo'shilgan qiymati, mahsulotlarga
sof soliqlar, baholash, koʼrsatkichlarning statistic ahamiyatliligi, iqtisodiy talqin,
modellarni sinovdan oʼtkazish
.
ABSTRACT.
In this article provides a review of applied macromodels for
analyzing and forecasting of supply and its constituent segments of the CIS countries,
as those closest to Uzbekistan in terms of development level and economic
structure.The article a methodology for constructing a macro model of analysis and
forecastinghas been developed, and also a formula for calculating the projected
growth rate of the final supplyhas been formulated.An econometric macromodel of
the final supply of goods and services has been constructed to analyze and forecast
the macroeconomic equilibrium of the country.At the same time, econometric models
of the supply were tested for the statistical significance of the indicators assessed on
the database of Uzbekistan and an economic interpretation of the equations included
in the macromodel of the supply was given.
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