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INTRODUCTION (Annotation of Doctor of Philosophy Thesis)
The aim of research
is to develop
practical recommendations on improving the
assessment and forecasting of the sustainable social-economic development of the
region in the conditions of innovative development.
The object of research
is the system of indicators representing the sustainable
social and economic development of the Khorezm region.
Scientific novelty
of the research:
evaluating "sustainable socio-economic development" of cities and districts of
the region by using composite index intervals as "high (23.12% - 25.74%)",
"medium (21.62% - 22.46%)", "low (16.36%) - 17.18%)" is proposed;
based on indicators of sustainable socio-economic development of the region,
the degree of similarity is determined by "Cluster analysis" using the "Euclidean
metric" and dividing them (Urganch district), (Khiva district), (Urganch, Bogot,
Hazorasp, Shavot, Khanka, Khiva, Koshko'pir ), (Gurlan, Yangibozor, Yangiariq),
(Tuproqkala) clusters is proposed;
region's industrial output per capita, fixed capital investment per capita,
unemployment rate factors to GRP per capita in the short-term (+1.21%; +2.3%; -
1.15%) and long-term (+3.9%; +6.9%; -2.6%) are proposed to calculate the
determination of the priority level for the term based on the ARDL model;
forecast values of the main indicators of the region's sustainable socio-economic
development for 2022-2026 have been developed.
